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*** That would give the GOP a HUGE advantage: The Republica <a href={url}>{keyword}</a> ns advocating these changes say they would give smaller communities more of a voice in presidential battleground states. But there s a bigger story here: The moves would give the GOP a significant advantage due to the fact that redistricting has concentrated the Democratic vote to just a handful of congressional districts in these states. Take Virginia, for example: Obama won the state in 2012 by four percentage points and by about 150,000 votes -- and he took all of the state s 13 electoral votes. But under the proposed changes, Mitt Romney would have won nine of the state s electoral votes to Obama s four. Put another way, if every electoral vote in the country was awarded by congressional district (plus two votes <a href={url}>{keyword}</a> to the statewide winner), Romney would have defeated Obama, 276 to 262 in electoral votes (instead of Obama winning 332 to 206), according to . And if only the states of Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin were changed to this system, Obama would have BARELY won, 271-267, Abramowitz adds.*** The GOP s dilemma: The current system vs. the popular vote: And this isn t just coming from state-level Republicans. In an interview earlier this month with the , RNC Chairman Reince Priebus -- who s expected to win re-election as RNC chair today in Charlotte -- appeared to bless these changes to the Electoral College system. "I think it's something that a lot of states that have been consistently blue that are fully controlled red ought to be looking at," Priebus said, but he also added: "It's not my decision that can come from the RNC, that's for sure." But these proposed changes are shortsighted for two reasons. One, the Republicans pushing them are all but acknowledging that their party problems heading into 2016 are so significant that they have to change the rules in order to win. In other wo <a href={url}>{keyword}</a> rds, they are throwing in the towel and trying to rig the system. Two, the proposed changes would only speed up efforts to have the popular vote -- and not the Electoral College -- decide presidential contests, because many would see that as a fairer system. So Republicans need to ask themselves this question: Do they want the current Electoral College system, or do they want the popular vote? And a final question here: Where are the big leaders of the party on this issue? Haley Barbour? Jeb Bush? George W. Bush? |
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